So that raises the question, what was winter like back then?
I can't speak for the midwest in 1823, but Environment Canada does have data for Edmonton that goes all the way back to the winter of 1880-1881:
Just lining the two graphs up, they're closer than I would have expected. Although a couple of those daytime highs down around -30C are pretty chilly.
If the daytime highs are surprisingly similar, the daytime lows are a different story:
The graphs still sort of line up in a few spots, but generally the 1880 data is shifted down 10 or 15 degrees. When it used to get cold, wow did it ever get cold. In 2014-2015 the low flirted with -30 twice, but in 1880-1881 it was down into the -40s seven times.
I'm not going to pretend to be an expert on this. These are just two years picked basically at random - choosing a different year one way or the other might tell a completely different story.
I assume that some of the warming seen here is due to Climate Change, while some of it is due to the heat-island effect. Edmonton is now a sprawling city, and its environment and surroundings are very different from however the temperature was measured 136 years ago. I do have some thoughts on how I might try to normalize-out the heat-island effect, but that will have to wait for another time.
For right now, I'm just content to try to imagine living in -44C without modern clothes, or insulation, or heating, or transportation, or plumbing.
What observing site did you use for the comparisons? Edmonton has a few that might show different patterns, especially in the overnight low department.
ReplyDelete