2023/11/16

Mid-November 2023 Update

It's mid-November, but it's not looking very wintery outside.

Since Halloween our temperatures have been a little bit above average, but we haven't had any super-hot days, or even anything near the top of our 30-year range.

But we've definitely reached the part of the year where, when we get snow, it will start to hang around.

November 15th is the last day of the year where our average High is above freezing. 

It will stay below freezing until March 9th. 

It bottoms-out for a week or two around New Year's at -8°C. But for a lot of the winter our average High sits around -5°C.

Of course our temperatures don't actually spend much time right at our average High. Most winters have a lot of mild~ish days, punctuated by the occasional. hopefully-brief deepfreeze. This is last year as an example.

Our average High is below-freezing from November 16th through March 9th. That's 114 days.

During that time on average we have 45 days (40%) with Highs that reach 0°C. And that includes around 20 days (18%) which get to 5°C.

January is theoretically our coldest month, and even it averages 12 Highs which reach 0°C, including 4 which reach 5°C.

(January is theoretically our coldest month, but it has actually warmed up a lot in the past century. And in the last 10 years its average Highs & Lows now sit above December & February.)

With a month-and-a-half left in the year, the warm~ish start to November has kept 2023's temperatures as the 3rd warmest on record. But 2015's super El Niño autumn has closed most of that gap.

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